tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6355709063431328024.post4727985567109305177..comments2023-09-13T04:03:04.292-07:00Comments on Cinema Democratica: A Momentous Week Leaves McCain's Map in TattersDave O'Gormanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05614887143518461047noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6355709063431328024.post-73228254413053431632008-09-21T07:37:00.000-07:002008-09-21T07:37:00.000-07:00I too have been thinking a lot about Republican di...I too have been thinking a lot about Republican dirty tricks (and conservative bias in some media sources -- log into gallup this morning and you'll find a tracking poll showing Obama six points up, right next to an assortment of ten day-old headlines about McCain's convention bounce). Obviously we must all remain vigilant.<BR/><BR/>But I also think that it's important for Democrats to "play it where it lies," not exactly accepting that these things will happen, but recognizing that they will and that the most productive thing we can do about it is to try to build a trick-proof majority.<BR/><BR/>After all, the Gore campaign should never have been in such a dogfight with such an inferior candidate. In the first debate, Mr. Bush actually pointed across the stage at Gore and said, "He keeps saying I'm against things. I'm not against things; I'm for them."<BR/><BR/>It doesn't excuse what happened in Florida but it does place a share of the blame at the feet of those of us who should have been doing more to close the deal.Dave O'Gormanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05614887143518461047noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6355709063431328024.post-4374649705565326982008-09-21T04:53:00.000-07:002008-09-21T04:53:00.000-07:00This morning's paper (and Yahoo) are already setti...This morning's paper (and Yahoo) are already setting us up for another stolen election. They are saying that McCain is leading by 2.5% due to the fact that everyone is going to vote against an "N". I read the huge article that you cited from Rolling Stone magazine about the 2004 theft and it just made me sick!<BR/>I am in the midst of writing a letter to the editor that starts out: if you think this country is not in a mess; vote for McCain cause he's not Black. If you just lost your job; vote for McCain because he's not Black...you get the picture.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6355709063431328024.post-85105987468143336122008-09-20T17:04:00.000-07:002008-09-20T17:04:00.000-07:00I think the support for Obama is being significant...I think the support for Obama is being significantly under-represented in the polling data, between the ground-game advantage, the higher than usual turnout we can expect from Democrats (which I don't think is being properly accounted for in the "likely voter models"), and the higher proportion of cell-phone users (as discussed today on fivethirtyeight).<BR/><BR/>In 2004, I felt as though we had an accurate reading on how the night would go when the polls closed in West Virginia and they called it for Bush instantaneously. This time I think we'll know a lot by how long it takes to call Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida.<BR/><BR/>In the meantime we all need to do our part.Dave O'Gormanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05614887143518461047noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6355709063431328024.post-84918150599375387682008-09-20T10:14:00.000-07:002008-09-20T10:14:00.000-07:00d-Even though McSame's monetary limit is $85M, he ...d-<BR/><BR/>Even though McSame's monetary limit is $85M, he counts money from the RNC which has all but guaranteed that it's coffers will be spent on the general election whereas the significantly smaller coffers of the DNC, I believe, are spent with more discretion - no doubt, in part, due to the Democratic party's 50-state strategy. I think this fact alone, makes the monetary playing field much more level. However, it's how and where that money is being spent is what's making the difference in 2008.<BR/><BR/>On that note, to all the detractors of th3 50-state strategy, I should point out that there are states which are close that by all rights shouldn't be. Bush carried Indiana by 21 points in 2004 and it's a statistical tie now. If the Democratic party can maintain it's ground presence/strategy over the next 2-3 election cycles I'm venturing to guess that the outlook for a more progressive America is rosy.<BR/><BR/>--adamA. Gordonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00851732799590685960noreply@blogger.com